Also, I'm watching the Pastor-gate blowup with great curiosity. I'm not as certain as others that this can put a stop to Obama's campaign (there's a lot of momentum sending that train over the cliff), but I do know when I've seen something that will end any general election hopes he may have. At this point, I think bile will fuel the rest of the election season as the nomination becomes overtly what it has always at base been about - preventing Hillary from winning.
If she gets the nomination, she gets the White House. Why? Krugman explains:
I used to think that the major issues facing the next president would be how to get out of Iraq and what to do about health care. At this point, however, I suspect that the biggest problem for the next administration will be figuring out which parts of the financial system to bail out, how to pay the cleanup bills and how to explain what it’s doing to an angry public.The economy will be going down the drain by November and McCain won't have a clue of how to handle it.
Betting the Bank
I've got taxes to prepare and a lot of housework to do this weekend, but I've got a post percolating along about Electoral College math and why it all comes down to Florida, Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania if I can find the time to write it. Short answer:
- Win two - Democrats lose
- Win three - Democrats have a chance
- Win four - Democrats win